Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 1013.057504 1152.753222 1309.997282 1501.140821 1728.596966 1992.329541 2323.774495
2025-05-04 805.181139 985.907663 1209.373138 1510.190538 1911.073327 2436.500971 3193.702256
2025-05-11 698.789761 893.915953 1149.341154 1515.914885 2041.758003 2790.550592 3979.596681
2025-05-18 638.340463 847.264219 1134.374442 1570.116653 2237.846757 3264.417305 5053.611501
2025-05-25 589.704125 807.152411 1118.469661 1614.225110 2419.384729 3746.121477 6269.294668
2025-06-01 544.123959 764.277403 1090.612895 1632.318892 2558.356871 4182.937636 7534.748291
2025-06-08 503.003965 722.453843 1057.719191 1635.020445 2668.403611 4588.744819 8868.655900
2025-06-15 475.324499 697.571076 1047.236277 1671.513503 2841.864740 5149.122477 10728.908820
2025-06-22 433.586725 646.253180 988.034762 1614.616218 2830.355130 5336.838712 11796.584129
2025-06-29 398.466757 602.317129 936.344218 1563.834756 2820.985155 5525.190817 12938.430768
2025-07-06 366.268898 560.446500 884.049053 1505.147193 2785.478932 5647.131101 13952.467927
2025-07-13 356.449930 554.943727 893.806525 1564.607644 3006.106925 6416.537208 17214.330521
2025-07-20 340.518823 538.222541 882.961889 1584.407012 3149.376582 7050.928654 20468.704142
2025-07-27 324.771103 520.608903 868.927113 1596.297015 3278.476897 7692.158526 24189.939541
2025-08-03 309.787217 503.042643 853.101066 1601.982204 3393.574235 8330.759136 28372.932454
2025-08-10 302.407243 498.501142 861.376745 1660.185329 3650.440297 9474.473909 35723.258126
2025-08-17 294.213902 491.745257 864.571936 1707.481478 3889.998697 10658.862726 44553.923644
2025-08-24 283.640156 479.700798 856.075062 1726.901878 4059.156961 11678.945426 53762.557162
2025-08-31 272.235639 465.241144 841.364394 1729.800369 4183.120529 12592.731802 63598.805018
2025-09-07 265.070433 458.408491 841.714162 1768.973861 4422.574490 14053.633411 79644.483925
2025-09-14 249.462484 434.074080 803.358860 1707.904555 4345.740758 14217.517666 85909.304358
2025-09-21 235.573611 412.352421 769.044876 1653.432297 4280.650618 14416.513858 92997.596228
2025-09-28 221.938671 390.417090 732.830455 1590.518761 4178.546019 14425.846786 98533.190460